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9780761958659 Academic Inspection Copy

The Future of Global Conflict

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This is a critical analysis of long-term trends and recent developments in world systems. Contributions include: an examination of future dominance of the core global systems; a discussion of the economic, political and military role of the Pacific Rim, Japan and the former Soviet Union; consideration of whether the historically accelerating sequence of the rise and fall of dominating powers will be replaced by a new supranatural structure of competition and co-operation within the next 25 years, or, whether rivalry for domination will end in global war.
Introduction - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Volker Bornschier The Future of Hegemonic Rivalry in Perspective PART ONE: DIFFERENT PREDICTIONS FOR THE FUTURE From Leadership to Organization - George Modelski The Evolution of Global Politics The Next World War - Christopher Chase-Dunn and Bruce Podobnik World-System Cycles and Trends Beyond Cycles of Hegemony - Walter L Goldfrank Economic, Social and Military Factors Hegemonic Transition, West European Unification and the Future Structure of the Core - Volker Bornschier PART TWO: POST-WAR SHIFTS IN THE WORLD POLITICAL ECONOMY Global Cooperation or Rival Trade Blocs? - Gerd Junne Clashes of Life Spaces and Other Logics of Hegemonic Rivalry - Tieting Su Who Has the Most Fortune 500 Firms? A Network Analysis of Global Economic Competition, 1956-89 - Albert Bergesen and Roberto Fernandez Twenty-Fifty - John Borrego The Hegemonic Moment of Global Capitalism PART THREE: PROSPECTS FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE HEGEMONS Japan - A Hegemonic Power? Reflections on Economic Success and Possible Political Futures - Yasusada Yawata Germany, the United States and Future Intercore Conflict - Brigitte Schulz Future Hegemonic Rivalry between China and the West? - Erich Weede PART FOUR: LOOKING BACK AND AHEAD Hegemony and Bifurcation Points in World History - Terry Boswell Technological Change, Globalization and Hegemonic Rivalry - Volker Bornschier and Christopher Chase-Dunn
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